The assumptions made about distances on the roads and the
possible average speed, together with the methods and formulas for calculating
the predicted times taken, from the elements of a mathematical model, usually
called simply model. Changing the assumptions made or the formulas used would
result in a different model.
This may account for some of the discrepancies in the times
predicted by the route planner – they have used different models with different
assumptions.
Many other routes could have been taken, and different
routes are likely to take different times.
A route planner computer program stores a network of roads,
and a time for travelling along each section of a road is determined from a suitable model. An algorithm – set of
instructions to solve a problem step by step – is then used to check the
distances and times of all the possible routes systematically and select the
shortest or quickest, as appropriate.
The word data means facts of statistics, so the case the new
data might include the addition of the new roads to the maps or more up–to-date
estimate of the travel speed.
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The mathematics had identified several key
problems to solve after discussions with user.
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They use a wide range of different sources of reliable
data, obtained from government departments and reputable organisations, which
they update frequently. They also include data provided by users.
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Some simplification and assumptions had to be
made so that key problems can be solved quickly enough while users of the
website wait.
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The mathematical model is continually being
refined and updated to provide a more reliable prediction.
Whichever method you choose, you may now be more aware of
how different factors can affect the journey time, such as average speeds along
different sections of the road. If you decide to use a route planner, perhaps the
best advice is to monitor how well the predictions for the journey times match
reality in case, and to choose a route planner that gives the most reliable
results. They are unlikely to be this accurate in practice because road
conditions are so changeable.
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